# -*- coding: utf-8 -*- """Test for short_panel and panel sandwich Created on Fri May 18 13:05:47 2012 Author: Josef Perktold moved example from main of random_panel """ import numpy as np from numpy.testing import assert_almost_equal import numpy.testing as npt import statsmodels.tools.eval_measures as em from statsmodels.stats.moment_helpers import cov2corr, se_cov from statsmodels.regression.linear_model import OLS from statsmodels.sandbox.panel.panel_short import ShortPanelGLS, ShortPanelGLS2 from statsmodels.sandbox.panel.random_panel import PanelSample import statsmodels.sandbox.panel.correlation_structures as cs import statsmodels.stats.sandwich_covariance as sw def assert_maxabs(actual, expected, value): npt.assert_array_less(em.maxabs(actual, expected, None), value) def test_short_panel(): #this checks that some basic statistical properties are satisfied by the #results, not verified results against other packages #Note: the ranking of robust bse is different if within=True #I added within keyword to PanelSample to be able to use old example #if within is False, then there is no within group variation in exog. nobs = 100 nobs_i = 5 n_groups = nobs // nobs_i k_vars = 3 dgp = PanelSample(nobs, k_vars, n_groups, corr_structure=cs.corr_arma, corr_args=([1], [1., -0.9],), seed=377769, within=False) #print 'seed', dgp.seed y = dgp.generate_panel() noise = y - dgp.y_true #test dgp dgp_cov_e = np.array( [[ 1. , 0.9 , 0.81 , 0.729 , 0.6561], [ 0.9 , 1. , 0.9 , 0.81 , 0.729 ], [ 0.81 , 0.9 , 1. , 0.9 , 0.81 ], [ 0.729 , 0.81 , 0.9 , 1. , 0.9 ], [ 0.6561, 0.729 , 0.81 , 0.9 , 1. ]]) npt.assert_almost_equal(dgp.cov, dgp_cov_e, 13) cov_noise = np.cov(noise.reshape(-1,n_groups, order='F')) corr_noise = cov2corr(cov_noise) npt.assert_almost_equal(corr_noise, dgp.cov, 1) #estimate panel model mod2 = ShortPanelGLS(y, dgp.exog, dgp.groups) res2 = mod2.fit_iterative(2) #whitened residual should be uncorrelated corr_wresid = np.corrcoef(res2.wresid.reshape(-1,n_groups, order='F')) assert_maxabs(corr_wresid, np.eye(5), 0.1) #residual should have same correlation as dgp corr_resid = np.corrcoef(res2.resid.reshape(-1,n_groups, order='F')) assert_maxabs(corr_resid, dgp.cov, 0.1) assert_almost_equal(res2.resid.std(),1, decimal=0) y_pred = np.dot(mod2.exog, res2.params) assert_almost_equal(res2.fittedvalues, y_pred, 13) #compare with OLS res2_ols = mod2._fit_ols() npt.assert_(mod2.res_pooled is res2_ols) res2_ols = mod2.res_pooled #TODO: BUG: requires call to _fit_ols #fitting once is the same as OLS #note: I need to create new instance, otherwise it continuous fitting mod1 = ShortPanelGLS(y, dgp.exog, dgp.groups) res1 = mod1.fit_iterative(1) assert_almost_equal(res1.params, res2_ols.params, decimal=13) assert_almost_equal(res1.bse, res2_ols.bse, decimal=13) res_ols = OLS(y, dgp.exog).fit() assert_almost_equal(res1.params, res_ols.params, decimal=13) assert_almost_equal(res1.bse, res_ols.bse, decimal=13) #compare with old version mod_old = ShortPanelGLS2(y, dgp.exog, dgp.groups) res_old = mod_old.fit() assert_almost_equal(res2.params, res_old.params, decimal=13) assert_almost_equal(res2.bse, res_old.bse, decimal=13) mod5 = ShortPanelGLS(y, dgp.exog, dgp.groups) res5 = mod5.fit_iterative(5) #make sure it's different #npt.assert_array_less(0.009, em.maxabs(res5.bse, res2.bse)) cov_clu = sw.cov_cluster(mod2.res_pooled, dgp.groups.astype(int)) clubse = se_cov(cov_clu) pnwbse = se_cov(sw.cov_nw_panel(mod2.res_pooled, 4, mod2.group.groupidx)) bser = np.vstack((res2.bse, res5.bse, clubse, pnwbse)) bser_mean = np.mean(bser, axis=0) #cov_cluster close to robust and PanelGLS #is up to 24% larger than mean of bser #npt.assert_array_less(0, clubse / bser_mean - 1) npt.assert_array_less(clubse / bser_mean - 1, 0.25) #cov_nw_panel close to robust and PanelGLS npt.assert_array_less(pnwbse / bser_mean - 1, 0.1) #OLS underestimates bse, robust at least 60% larger npt.assert_array_less(0.6, bser_mean / res_ols.bse - 1) #cov_hac_panel with uniform_kernel is the same as cov_cluster for balanced #panel with full length kernel #I fixe default correction to be equal cov_uni = sw.cov_nw_panel(mod2.res_pooled, 4, mod2.group.groupidx, weights_func=sw.weights_uniform, use_correction='c') assert_almost_equal(cov_uni, cov_clu, decimal=13) #without correction cov_clu2 = sw.cov_cluster(mod2.res_pooled, dgp.groups.astype(int), use_correction=False) cov_uni2 = sw.cov_nw_panel(mod2.res_pooled, 4, mod2.group.groupidx, weights_func=sw.weights_uniform, use_correction=False) assert_almost_equal(cov_uni2, cov_clu2, decimal=13) cov_white = sw.cov_white_simple(mod2.res_pooled) cov_pnw0 = sw.cov_nw_panel(mod2.res_pooled, 0, mod2.group.groupidx, use_correction='hac') assert_almost_equal(cov_pnw0, cov_white, decimal=13)